In a meeting room in a Vancouver, British Columbia, hotel last
month, several companies betting on the future of WiMAX showed off how
the wireless technology could provide multiple VoIP calls, streaming
video, interactive gaming using Microsoft's Xbox, and audio and video
conferencing.
At the same time, the WiMAX Forum's test lab
in Spain began the certification process for hardware from a number of
different vendors, with the expectation they'll be certified sometime
in November.
Recent WiMAX submissions:
Analysis: Wireless broadband operators face 802.16e, 700 Mhz,
Here Comes WiMax World
The forum expects the show-and-tell in Vancouver and lab tests in
Malaga, Spain, will answer some of its critics by proving that not only
does the wireless broadband technology work, but that the products
coming out will be interoperable. Those are important steps for WiMAX,
but there are bigger steps ahead that the forum won't be able to
control as easily. Many of these relate to market forces and what
WiMAX's role will be among the burgeoning wireless broadband
technologies. It's significant that the WiMAX Forum has started addressing
those issues, first with the creation of a new working group devoted to
applications, and second by opening up its membership to content
providers. Among its new members is the Walt Disney Company, which sees
WiMAX as a means of sending its movies and other content into homes.
The
forum also has started positioning WiMAX as "personal broadband" to try
to differentiate itself in the marketplace of the future. Ron Resnick,
the forum's president, believes WiMAX will be akin to the popularity of
cell phones but for data. Making that comparison implies mobility,
something WiMAX will not be until 2007 or 2008, but mobility is the
direction many forum members want to go. Intel, one of the prime movers
behind the technology, expects to begin sampling WiMAX mobile chips in
early 2006 and have it in laptops by 2007.
TWO PATHS Although
it has one name, WiMAX is going to be two different go-to-market
technologies. The first is for fixed wireless and falls under the IEEE
802.16-2004 standard approved last year. The second, for mobile
applications, will be under the 802.16e specification expected to be
finalized this fall. But the two almost certainly will not be
interoperable, so any provider using 802.16-2004 equipment – the
equipment being certified now – will have to install 802.16e equipment
in the future if it wants to add mobility.
WiMAX could be
used in a variety of spectrum, but it is being viewed initially for 3.5
GHz and 2.5 GHz. Korean operators, using a technology they call WiBro
(for wireless broadband), plan to use 2.3 GHz spectrum. Korea Telecom
(KT) plans an April 2006 commercial launch of WiBro, which is a mobile
technology expected to be morphed into the WiMAX 802.16e standard, so
its experience could be an indicator of how the technology will play
elsewhere in the world.
Won-Pyo Hong, a senior vice
president with KT, said at the Vancouver meeting that WiBro will
converge telecommunications and media and that WiBro, 3G and Wi-Fi
access networks will complement each other. He talked about WiBro using
applications like movie downloads, gaming, e-mail, location-based
services and online banking. WiBro will launch in Seoul initially and
spread to other major cities but will never have nationwide coverage.
PDAs are expected to be the main devices, with laptops second.
Hong
says KT expects WiBro to be used in nomadic environments with superior
data rates to the 3G network, while 3G will provide more mobility.
Mobile
WiMAX is expected eventually to provide data rates of about 20 Mbps,
although initial implementations may be closer to 1 Mbps to 2 Mbps.
Adaptix, a Seattle company with pre-standard gear, conducted a mobile
demonstration in Vancouver in which the company said it produced 2.5
Mbps in a vehicle traveling at 40 miles per hour.
Fixed
WiMAX has been touted as having the ability to transmit 30 miles or
more, becoming a replacement for DSL or cable or for network backhaul.
Redline Communications has at least one implementation with pre-WiMAX
gear shooting a signal 80 miles over water, according to Keith Doucet,
vice president of marketing.
So, what carriers or providers will want to use WiMAX and how will it fit into the wireless broadband landscape?
Phil
Marshall, an analyst with the Yankee Group, says mobile wireless
broadband services provided by cellular technologies such as W-CDMA and
CDMA 1X EV-DO will have about 350 million subscribers globally by 2008.
WiMAX likely will offer better performance than 3G where ubiquitous
coverage and high mobility are not a priority, he says, especially as
an overlay technology.
"Service providers that have 3G
spectrum and services can offer an overlaid WiMAX broadband service
targeted toward fixed, portable and nomadic subscribers with
alternative devices such as laptops," Marshall says in a WiMAX study
done for the forum. He adds that WiMAX could "bridge the gap" between
applications designed for high-capacity landline networks and the
mobile broadband wireless networks.