Amended from Globes Online - Israel:
The wireless WiMAX standard should be ready very soon, and Alvarion has teamed with Lucent to take advantage.
Shlomo Greenberg
The final version of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics
Engineers’ (IEEE) 802.16e standard will probably be approved at the end
of this month. This will make it possible to provide mobile WiMAX
services. 802.16 is a series of standards for the various forms of
WiMAX. 802.16e Task Group chair Brian G. Kiernan wrote last week, “It
has been completed and sent out for, hopefully, a final re-circulation
about one hour ago. If that recirc goes clear, we are done. We’ll know
in two weeks.”
This standard, which will probably be called 802.16-2005, is a
continuation of the WiMAX standard for fixed devices, such as for
community switches. The standard for fixed devices, approved in 2004,
is called 802.16-2004. Mobile WiMAX focuses on mobile broadband
devices. Commercial launching of fixed WiMAX products is expected in
the first half of 2006, while product availability of mobile WiMAX
devices is not expected before the second half of 2006. Meanwhile
the www.unstrung.com website, one of the most widely respected
futuristic websites, reports that Lucent Technologies (NYSE: LU) is
joining forces with Alvarion (Nasdaq: ALVR; TASE: ALVR)
in the mobile WiMAX field. In January, Lucent announced that it planned
to resell Alvarion fixed wireless kit based the 802.16-2004 standard. Senior
Unstrung Europe editor Justin Springham believes that joint
Lucent-Alvarion tests of the 802.16-2004 kit will begin next month.
Alvarion North American VP marketing Carlton O'Neal said, “The deal
includes mobile.” Alvarion VP marketing Rudy Leser added, “The
agreement is an OEM agreement, where Lucent is selling Alvarion’s WiMAX
product line.” Alvarion has not yet published anything about this
important matter, while a Lucent spokesperson sent an e-mail to
Unstrung, which said, “Our work with Alvarion remains focused on
802.16-2004. We have nothing further to announce or share at this
time.” What is involved is the sale by Lucent of Alvarion’s end-user
equipment. ”What is certain is that the vendor is bullish on
its plans for wireless broadband technology,” Springham writes. If the
Lucent-Alvarion agreement is extended to the 802.16-2005 mobile WiMAX
standard, then Alvarion will have passed its most important test
attaining an OEM agreement with a leading infrastructure company. Keep
in mind that a previously mentioned agreement with Siemens (NYSE: SI;
XETRA: SIE) was called off because Siemens decided to go it alone,
while Alvarion’s agreement with Alcatel (NYSE: ALA; Paris: CGEN) was
confined to the 802.16-2004 fixed WiMAX standard. Meanwhile, the
Alvarion share is falling, and in my opinion, it’s just getting more
interesting, but that’s only what I think. The Vyyo (Nasdaq: VYYO)
share has lost 60% of its value since February 2005. This loss of value
is rather justified, if we look closely at what’s left of the company,
on which so many hopes were formerly pinned. A large proportion of this
decline took place this month, when the Needham & Co. investment
house downgraded its recommendation from the share from “Hold” to
“Underperform”. Needham downgraded the share after finding out that
Vyyo had a contractual obligation with its shareholders, which
stipulated that if the company did not have $20 million at both the end
of 2005 and the end of June 2006, it would have to pay them a $6.5
million penalty payment. Needham’s analyst believes that the company
will not meet this target, which is why he lowered his recommendation. Furthermore,
Needham was angry that the company had not reported this agreement.
Needham said that the company had $27 million in cash at the end of
June 2005. At its current cash burn rate, $10 million of that sum will
be gone after the current quarter and the following one. Vyyo also has
about $2 million in one-time expenses, which means that the company
will finish the year with $15 million in cash, and will have to pay
$6.5 million. That will not leave it any breathing room. What
Vyyo has to show right now is negligible sales of $3.5 million a year,
and a huge $30.5 million loss. Needham’s analyst predicts a $1.70 loss
per share this year, which really is not a very good situation. I’d say
that, from an economic standpoint, the fall in the share may not have
ended. Next week, however, Vyyo senior VP Dr. Mike Ritter will present
a new product at the Gartner Energy & Utilities IT Summit in
California. It seems that Vyyo has tested its product (successfully,
Ritter claims). The product, which performs wireless monitoring of the
operating systems of service companies, was tested at Northern Electric
Corporation. Wireless monitoring of power plants and similar
installations is a very important field. The question is whether Vyyo
can persuade the market that it has a solution. The field is very
competitive. If Ritter, who joined Vyyo only last year, manages through
his demonstration and lectures to convince the people attending the
conference, then the company will be able to sell a lot more that what
is currently expected of it. The problem is that we investors find out
what’s happening only afterwards. In the current situation, therefore,
I’m sitting on the sidelines. Incidentally, Comverge Inc., a subsidiary of DSSI - Data Systems & Software (OTCBB: DSSI),
also develops wireless monitoring of power plants and service.
Yesterday, the company announced that, together with Emerson Electric
Company (NYSE: EMR), it had developed a special thermostat for
measurements in power stations. DSSI is another one of those companies
that never fulfilled their promises to their investors. For reasons
that are unclear to me, the company’s shareholders still have
confidence in its management. |